13649 N 36th Ave, Phoenix, 85029

Property Analysis Report

Category: Rental Property

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Disclaimer

This tool is provided “As Is”. All information is believed to be accurate, but not guaranteed. It is intended for the purpose of illustrative projections.
The information provided is not intended to replace or substitute any legal, accounting, investment, real estate, tax or other professional advice, consultation or service. The author of this tool is not responsible nor liable for any damages arising from the use of the tool.

Executive Summary

Property Description

Name 13649 N 36th Ave Phoenix
Address 13649 N 36th Ave, Phoenix
Type Singlefamily
Size 1396 SF
Rooms 3 bed. + 2 bath.
Purchase Price $ 78,000
Rent $ 950/month
 

Financing Overview

Purchase Price $ 78,000
Down Payment $ 15,600
Mortgage (30yr @ 5.50%) $ 62,400
Loan-to-Value (LTV) 80.00 %
Closing Costs $ 2,500
Total Aquisition Cost $ 82,000

Income, Expenses and Cash Flow (Year 1)

Gross Operating Income (GOI) $ 10,830
Total Expenses $ 3,239
Net Operating Income (NOI) $ 7,591
Annual Debt Service $ 4,252
Rehabilitaion $ 0
Cash Flow Before Taxes (CFBT) $ 3,340
Income Tax Liability $ 0
Cash Flow After Taxes (CFAT) $ 3,340

 

Financial Analysis

Holding period of 15 years and discount rate of 10% were used for calculation of NPV and IRR. The rest of the financial measures are for the 1st year only and therefore doesn’t provide such exact information.

Net Present Value (NPV) $ 49,214
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 20.12 %
Cash on Cash Return 17.04 %
Return on Equity (ROE) 17.04 %
Capitalization Rate 9.73 %
Gross Rent Multiplier (GRM) 6.84
Debt-coverage Ratio (DCR) 2.68
Operating Expense Ratio (OER) 29.91 %

Resale Analysis

Sale Price in year 15 (Appreciation:1%) $ 90,556
Sale Proceeds (Before Tax) $ 40,855
Optimal Holding Period (based on NPV) 30 years
 

Property Description

Rented for $950.
Has a pool.
This is a 1396 square foot, 2.0 bathroom, single family home. It is located at 13649 N 36th Ave Phoenix, Arizona. The nearest schools are Chaparral Elementary School, Desert Foothills Middle School and Moon Valley High School.

Price $ 78,000
Address 13649 N 36th Ave, Phoenix, 85029, AZ
Country US
Year Built 1971
Type Singlefamily
Size 1396 SF
Number of Bedrooms 3
Number of Bathrooms 2

 

Operation Effectiveness

The Annual Property Operating Data

Incomes % of GOI
Gross Scheduled Rent Income $ 11,400
Total Gross Income $ 11,400
Vacancy loss $ 570
Gross Operating Income $ 10,830 100.00 %
Expenses
Repairs $ 600 5.54 %
Manager $ 1,140 10.53 %
Prop_Taxes $ 899 8.31 %
Prop_Insurance $ 600 5.54 %
Total Expenses $ 3,239 29.91 %
Net Operating Income $ 7,591 70.09 %

Cash Flow (1st year)

Net Operating Income $ 7,591 70.09 %
Annual Debt Service $ 4,252 39.26 %
Rehabilitation $ 0 0.00 %
Cash Flow Before Taxes (CFBT) $ 3,340 30.84 %
Income Tax Liability $ 0 0.00 %
Cash Flow After Taxes (CFAT) $ 3,340 30.84 %

Gross scheduled income (GSI)

represents the total of monthly rents for the particular property, including the potential rents from vacant units and uncollectable rents.

Vacancy and Credit Loss

represents the part of the potential rental income that is lost because of unoccupied units or uncollectable rent from tenants.

Gross Operating Income (GOI)

is the actual income which is expected to be collected in the property.

Operating Expenses

are expenses necessary for maintaining the property and ensuring its continued ability to produce income (doesn’t include mortgage payments or depreciation).

Net Operating Income (NOI)

is simply the gross operating income minus operating expenses.

Operating Ratios

Operating Expense Ratio 29.91 %
Break-Even Ratio 69.44 %

Cash Flow

represents all the inflows and outflows of cash for a certain property (including mortgage payments). We can calculate cash flow before taxes (CFBT) or cash flow after taxes (CFAT) which is CFBT minus any tax liability arising from the operation of the property.

Operating Expense Ratio

is the ratio of the operating expenses to the gross operating income (GOI).

Break-Even Ratio (BER)

is another benchmark used by mortgage lenders. It estimates how vulnerable is a certain property to defaulting on its mortgage if part of the rental income is declined. Most of the lenders are looking for BER of 85% or less.

Financial Effectiveness

Financial Measures

Net Present Value $ 49,214
Internal Rate of Return 20.12 %
Profitability Index 3.51
House P/E Ratio 2.58
Annual Depreciation $ 2,269

Holding period of 15 years and discount rate of 10% were used for calculation of NPV and IRR. The rest of the financial measures are for the 1st year only and therefore don’t provide such an exact information.

Net Present Value (NPV)

is probably the best measure of any investment thanks to its complexity. It takes into account all future cash flows including the selling price, and it converts all these amounts to their present values using discount rate required by the investor. Therefore in contrast from most of the measurements, NPV count fully with the time value of money. More information and example is on the blog.

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

is a rate which an investment will return over the estimated period of ownership. It is in fact the discount rate that produces NPV of zero.

Profitability Index

is very similar to NPV. It also calculates with the present values of future cash flows and discount rate, therefore it takes in account the time value of money. Profitability index is a ratio which shows if the present value of the cash flows is worth the initial investment.

House P/E Ratio

is often used when measuring other investment tools, such as stocks. The Real Estate P/E ratio counts with the initial investment and annual net operating income.

Investment Return Ratios

Cash on Cash Return 17.04 %
Return on Investment 21.02 %
Return on Equity 17.04 %
Capitalization Rate 9.73 %
Gross Rental Yield 14.62 %
Gross Rent Multiplier 6.84

Cash on Cash Return

is in fact equity dividend rate. It is a ratio between annual cash flow before taxes and the total initial investment, expressed as a percentage. It is not an exact measurement of an investment, because it does not take in account the future value of money.

Return on Investment

is very similar to Cash on Cash Return, but also takes in account appreciation of the property in the first year.

Return on Equity

is one of the financial measures used as well on other types of investments. In Real Estate the return means cash flow after taxes (CFAT) and equity is the initial investment.

Gross Rental Yield

can be used for a particular property or also as a market indicator when using median values of rent and house prices. It is counted from gross scheduled rent and initial investment.

Capitalization Rate

is calculated as ratio of the net operating income and the value of the property. It is in fact the discount rate, used for discounting the future income to determine its present value.

Gross Rent Multiplier

is counted as a ratio of market value of the property and gross scheduled income.

Financing Overview and Analysis

Acquisition Cost
Purchase Price $ 78,000
Closing Costs $ 2,500
Loan Costs $ 1,500
Total $ 82,000
Financing % of Acq.
Down Payment + Costs $ 15,600 19.02 %
Mortgage $ 62,400 76.10 %
Loan to Value Ratio 80.00 %
Debt Coverage Ratio 2.68
Mortgage
Mortgage Amount $ 62,400
Length 30 years
Interest Rate 5.50 %
Monthly Payment $ 354.30

Long Term Financial Forecast

 

Year 0 1 5 10 15
Operational Analysis
Gross Scheduled Income $ 0 $ 11,400 $ 11,863 $ 12,468 $ 13,104
Vacancy Loss $ 0 $ 570 $ 593 $ 623 $ 655
Gross Operating Income $ 0 $ 10,830 $ 11,270 $ 11,845 $ 12,449
Expenses $ 0 $ 3,239 $ 3,370 $ 3,542 $ 3,723
Net Operating Income $ 0 $ 7,591 $ 7,899 $ 8,302 $ 8,726
Financing
Mortgage Payment $ 0 $ 4,252 $ 4,252 $ 4,252 $ 4,252
Payment Interest Part $ 0 $ 3,411 $ 3,205 $ 2,874 $ 2,439
Payment Principal Part $ 0 $ 841 $ 1,047 $ 1,377 $ 1,812
Cash Flow
Rehabilitation $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0
Cash Flow Before Taxes $ -19,600 $ 3,340 $ 3,648 $ 4,051 $ 4,474
Depreciation $ 0 $ 2,269 $ 2,269 $ 2,269 $ 2,269
Taxes $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0
Cash Flow After Taxes $ -19,600 $ 3,340 $ 3,648 $ 4,051 $ 4,474


 

Resale Analysis

Resale Price Evaluation Methods

The property is sold after 15 years.

Appreciation (1.00%) $ 90,556
Cap Rate (9.73%) & NOI $ 89,659
Gross Rent Multiplier $ 89,659

Sale Proceeds

In the resale analysis we don’t count with taxes which might occur when selling the property. The tax laws for the resale are rather complex and subjected to frequent changes, and are different in every country.

Projected Selling Price $ 90,556
Costs of Sale (7.00%) $ 6,339
Mortgage Balance Payoff $ 43,362
Early Payoff Penalty (0.00 %) $ 0
Sale Proceeds Before Tax $ 40,855

Net Assets and Yield

Net Assets
Sale Proceeds Before Tax $ 40,855
Down Payment $ 15,600
Net Assets $ 25,255
Yield
Annual Net Assets $ 1,684
Average Cash Flow (After Taxes) $ 3,895
Average Annual Yield $ 5,578
Average Annual Return 7.15 %

Optimal Holding Period based on NPV

Holding Period 30 years
Max NPV $ 113,037


Sensitivity Analysis

Loan to Value ratio

Your current LTV ratio is: 80.00%.

LTV NPV IRR
80.00 % $ 49,214 20.12 %
0% $ -11,315 7.93 %
10% $ -7,557 8.51 %
20% $ -3,799 9.18 %
30% $ -41 9.99 %
40% $ 3,716 10.99 %
50% $ 7,474 12.26 %
60% $ 11,232 13.92 %
70% $ 14,990 16.31 %
80% $ 18,747 20.12 %
90% $ 22,505 27.73 %

This sensitivity analysis is using the configured holding period, the length and interest rate of the first mortgage and discount rate of 10%. It counts only with a conventional type of loan.

Mortgage Ammortization (Length)

Your current mortgage ammortization is 30 years.

Years NPV IRR
30 $ 49,214 20.12 %
5 $ -3,134 9.16 %
10 $ 1,152 10.42 %
15 $ 4,549 12.30 %
20 $ 11,907 16.26 %
25 $ 16,110 18.60 %
30 $ 18,747 20.12 %

This sensitivity analysis is using the loan amount and interest rate of the first mortgage and discount rate of 10%. It counts only with a conventional type of loan.

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