2529 W Wethersfeild Rd, Phoenix, AZ

Real Estate Analysis Property Analysis

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Disclaimer
This tool is provided “As Is”. All information is believed to be accurate, but not guaranteed. It is intended for the purpose of illustrative projections. The information provided is not intended to replace or substitute any legal, accounting, investment, real estate, tax or other professional advice, consultation or service. The author of this tool is not responsible nor liable for any damages arising from the use of the tool.

Executive Summary

Property Description

Name 2529 W Wethersfeild Rd, Phoenix,
Address 2529 W Wethersfeild Rd., Phoenix
Type Singlefamily
Size 1740 SF
Rooms 3 bed. + 2 bath.
Purchase Price $ 60,000
Rent $ 800/month


Financing Overview

Purchase Price $ 60,000
Down Payment $ 12,000
Mortgage (30yr @ 5.50%) $ 48,000
Loan-to-Value (LTV) 80.00 %
Closing Costs $ 2,500
Total Aquisition Cost $ 64,000

Income, Expenses and Cash Flow (Year 1)

Gross Operating Income (GOI) $ 9,120
Total Expenses $ 2,860
Net Operating Income (NOI) $ 6,260
Annual Debt Service $ 3,270
Rehabilitaion $ 0
Cash Flow Before Taxes (CFBT) $ 2,990
Income Tax Liability $ 0
Cash Flow After Taxes (CFAT) $ 2,990

Financial Analysis

Holding period of 15 years and discount rate of 10% were used for calculation of NPV and IRR. The rest of the financial measures are for the 1st year only and therefore doesn’t provide such exact information.

Net Present Value (NPV) $ 40,309
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) 21.39 %
Cash on Cash Return 18.69 %
Return on Equity (ROE) 18.69 %
Capitalization Rate 10.43 %
Gross Rent Multiplier (GRM) 6.25
Debt-coverage Ratio (DCR) 2.94
Operating Expense Ratio (OER) 31.36 %

Resale Analysis

Sale Price in year 15 (Appreciation:1%) $ 69,658
Sale Proceeds (Before Tax) $ 31,427
Optimal Holding Period (based on NPV) 30 years
 

Property Description

Price $ 60,000
Address 2529 W Wethersfeild Rd., Phoenix, 85029, AZ
Country US
Year Built 1963
Type Singlefamily
Size 1740 SF
Number of Bedrooms 3
Number of Bathrooms 2

 

Operation Effectiveness

The Annual Property Operating Data

Incomes % of GOI
Gross Scheduled Rent Income $ 9,600
Total Gross Income $ 9,600
Vacancy loss $ 480
Gross Operating Income $ 9,120 100.00 %
Expenses
Repairs $ 600 6.58 %
Manager $ 960 10.53 %
Prop_Taxes $ 700 7.67 %
Prop_Insurance $ 600 6.58 %
Total Expenses $ 2,860 31.36 %
Net Operating Income $ 6,260 68.64 %

Cash Flow (1st year)

Net Operating Income $ 6,260 68.64 %
Annual Debt Service $ 3,270 35.86 %
Rehabilitation $ 0 0.00 %
Cash Flow Before Taxes (CFBT) $ 2,990 32.78 %
Income Tax Liability $ 0 0.00 %
Cash Flow After Taxes (CFAT) $ 2,990 32.78 %

Gross scheduled income (GSI)

represents the total of monthly rents for the particular property, including the potential rents from vacant units and uncollectable rents.

Vacancy and Credit Loss

represents the part of the potential rental income that is lost because of unoccupied units or uncollectable rent from tenants.

Gross Operating Income (GOI)

is the actual income which is expected to be collected in the property.

Operating Expenses

are expenses necessary for maintaining the property and ensuring its continued ability to produce income (doesn’t include mortgage payments or depreciation).

Net Operating Income (NOI)

is simply the gross operating income minus operating expenses.

Operating Ratios

Operating Expense Ratio 31.36 %
Break-Even Ratio 63.47 %

Cash Flow

represents all the inflows and outflows of cash for a certain property (including mortgage payments). We can calculate cash flow before taxes (CFBT) or cash flow after taxes (CFAT) which is CFBT minus any tax liability arising from the operation of the property.

Operating Expense Ratio

is the ratio of the operating expenses to the gross operating income (GOI).

Break-Even Ratio (BER)

is another benchmark used by mortgage lenders. It estimates how vulnerable is a certain property to defaulting on its mortgage if part of the rental income is declined. Most of the lenders are looking for BER of 85% or less.

Financial Effectiveness

Financial Measures

Net Present Value $ 40,309
Internal Rate of Return 21.39 %
Profitability Index 3.52
House P/E Ratio 2.56
Annual Depreciation $ 1,745

Holding period of 15 years and discount rate of 10% were used for calculation of NPV and IRR. The rest of the financial measures are for the 1st year only and therefore don’t provide such an exact information.

Net Present Value (NPV)

is probably the best measure of any investment thanks to its complexity. It takes into account all future cash flows including the selling price, and it converts all these amounts to their present values using discount rate required by the investor. Therefore in contrast from most of the measurements, NPV count fully with the time value of money. More information and example is on the blog.

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

is a rate which an investment will return over the estimated period of ownership. It is in fact the discount rate that produces NPV of zero.

Profitability Index

is very similar to NPV. It also calculates with the present values of future cash flows and discount rate, therefore it takes in account the time value of money. Profitability index is a ratio which shows if the present value of the cash flows is worth the initial investment.

House P/E Ratio

is often used when measuring other investment tools, such as stocks. The Real Estate P/E ratio counts with the initial investment and annual net operating income.

Investment Return Ratios

Cash on Cash Return 18.69 %
Return on Investment 22.44 %
Return on Equity 18.69 %
Capitalization Rate 10.43 %
Gross Rental Yield 16.00 %
Gross Rent Multiplier 6.25

Cash on Cash Return

is in fact equity dividend rate. It is a ratio between annual cash flow before taxes and the total initial investment, expressed as a percentage. It is not an exact measurement of an investment, because it does not take in account the future value of money.

Return on Investment

is very similar to Cash on Cash Return, but also takes in account appreciation of the property in the first year.

Return on Equity

is one of the financial measures used as well on other types of investments. In Real Estate the return means cash flow after taxes (CFAT) and equity is the initial investment.

Gross Rental Yield

can be used for a particular property or also as a market indicator when using median values of rent and house prices. It is counted from gross scheduled rent and initial investment.

Capitalization Rate

is calculated as ratio of the net operating income and the value of the property. It is in fact the discount rate, used for discounting the future income to determine its present value.

Gross Rent Multiplier

is counted as a ratio of market value of the property and gross scheduled income.

Financing Overview and Analysis

Acquisition Cost
Purchase Price $ 60,000
Closing Costs $ 2,500
Loan Costs $ 1,500
Total $ 64,000
Financing % of Acq.
Down Payment + Costs $ 12,000 18.75 %
Mortgage $ 48,000 75.00 %
Loan to Value Ratio 80.00 %
Debt Coverage Ratio 2.94
Mortgage
Mortgage Amount $ 48,000
Length 30 years
Interest Rate 5.50 %
Monthly Payment $ 272.54

Long Term Financial Forecast

 

Year 0 1 5 10 15
Operational Analysis
Gross Scheduled Income $ 0 $ 9,600 $ 9,990 $ 10,499 $ 11,035
Vacancy Loss $ 0 $ 480 $ 499 $ 525 $ 552
Gross Operating Income $ 0 $ 9,120 $ 9,490 $ 9,974 $ 10,483
Expenses $ 0 $ 2,860 $ 2,976 $ 3,128 $ 3,287
Net Operating Income $ 0 $ 6,260 $ 6,514 $ 6,847 $ 7,196
Financing
Mortgage Payment $ 0 $ 3,270 $ 3,270 $ 3,270 $ 3,270
Payment Interest Part $ 0 $ 2,624 $ 2,465 $ 2,211 $ 1,876
Payment Principal Part $ 0 $ 647 $ 805 $ 1,060 $ 1,394
Cash Flow
Rehabilitation $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0
Cash Flow Before Taxes $ -16,000 $ 2,990 $ 3,244 $ 3,576 $ 3,925
Depreciation $ 0 $ 1,745 $ 1,745 $ 1,745 $ 1,745
Taxes $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0 $ 0
Cash Flow After Taxes $ -16,000 $ 2,990 $ 3,244 $ 3,576 $ 3,925


Resale Analysis

Resale Price Evaluation Methods

The property is sold after 15 years.

Appreciation (1.00%) $ 69,658
Cap Rate (10.43%) & NOI $ 68,968
Gross Rent Multiplier $ 68,968

Sale Proceeds

 

In the resale analysis we don’t count with taxes which might occur when selling the property. The tax laws for the resale are rather complex and subjected to frequent changes, and are different in every country.

Projected Selling Price $ 69,658
Costs of Sale (7.00%) $ 4,876
Mortgage Balance Payoff $ 33,355
Early Payoff Penalty (0.00 %) $ 0
Sale Proceeds Before Tax $ 31,427

Net Assets and Yield

Net Assets
Sale Proceeds Before Tax $ 31,427
Down Payment $ 12,000
Net Assets $ 19,427
Yield
Annual Net Assets $ 1,295
Average Cash Flow (After Taxes) $ 3,447
Average Annual Yield $ 4,743
Average Annual Return 7.90 %

Optimal Holding Period based on NPV

Holding Period 30 years
Max NPV $ 90,342

Sensitivity Analysis

Loan to Value ratio

Your current LTV ratio is: 80.00%.

LTV NPV IRR
80.00 % $ 40,309 21.39 %
0% $ -6,251 8.54 %
10% $ -3,361 9.16 %
20% $ -470 9.86 %
30% $ 2,421 10.74 %
40% $ 5,311 11.79 %
50% $ 8,202 13.13 %
60% $ 11,092 14.94 %
70% $ 13,983 17.43 %
80% $ 16,873 21.39 %
90% $ 19,764 29.30 %

This sensitivity analysis is using the configured holding period, the length and interest rate of the first mortgage and discount rate of 10%. It counts only with a conventional type of loan.

Mortgage Ammortization (Length)

Your current mortgage ammortization is 30 years.

Years NPV IRR
30 $ 40,309 21.39 %
5 $ 42 10.01 %
10 $ 3,338 11.62 %
15 $ 5,952 13.87 %
20 $ 11,612 17.68 %
25 $ 14,845 19.92 %
30 $ 16,873 21.39 %

This sensitivity analysis is using the loan amount and interest rate of the first mortgage and discount rate of 10%. It counts only with a conventional type of loan.

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